
FINANCIAL PROJECTIONS
Review V.1.
Recommendations:
Investor Appeal and Clarity:
Our view is that the document requires a concise summary of funding requirements and their expected outcomes. Explicitly state the total funding needed and how it will be allocated (e.g., product development, marketing, and operations).
Tie each funding request directly to milestones or investor ROI. For example, "£X investment in marketing will drive user growth to Y within Z months, increasing revenue by £A."
Such information MUST be supported by a comprehensive P&L and CashFlow forecast highlighting a 3-5 year trading period.
Market and Risk Justifications:
While the comparable companies are inspiring, the niche focus on football fans lacks sufficient market validation. Provide additional data to demonstrate the unmet need in the football fan engagement market.
Address potential risks, such as user acquisition challenges or competition from established platforms, and explain mitigation strategies.
Pre-Seed Investment Plan:
This section lists objectives (e.g., hiring developers, and conducting market research), but it doesn't quantify the required funding against specific actions. Create a direct link between requested funding and projected outcomes.
Include a timeline to show when key milestones, like MVP launch or market penetration, will be achieved.
EBITDA Projections:
Negative EBITDA in Year 1 is standard for startups, but explaining how this will transition into profitability through detailed marketing & sales strategies will reassure investors.
Provide a clearer rationale for the aggressive EBITDA margins (56% in Year 2, 75% in Year 3), as they appear optimistic compared to typical market benchmarks.
Valuation:
The valuation methodology is presented but not contextualised for investors unfamiliar with such models. Explain the choice of revenue multiples and how they compare to industry standards.
Clarify the implications of this valuation for equity stakes offered to investors during funding rounds.
Sustainability and Scalability:
Highlight how the platform will sustain growth beyond Year 3. For example, describe plans for geographic expansion or additional features.
Freemium to Paid Analysis
Atmosphere90 projects a conversion rate of 20% from freemium users to paid subscribers, a figure that stands out compared to typical benchmarks in digital subscription-based platforms. Below is analysis of how this conversion rate compares to industry standards and what factors may support or challenge achieving these projections:
Industry Benchmarks
General Freemium Platforms:
Platforms like Spotify and Dropbox typically see conversion rates between 2% and 5%.
High-performing niche platforms with passionate user bases, such as Strava or Peloton, report higher rates, often between 10% and 15%.
Sports and Entertainment Platforms:
Sports-focused platforms like DraftKings or similar fan-engagement tools often achieve conversion rates closer to 5% to 10%, depending on the level of user engagement and monetisation strategy.
Dating apps, such as Tinder, use gamification and premium feature scarcity to drive conversion rates up to 12% to 15% for their most engaged user segments.