FINANCIAL PROJECTIONS
Review V.1.

Recommendations:

  • Investor Appeal and Clarity:

    • Our view is that the document requires a concise summary of funding requirements and their expected outcomes. Explicitly state the total funding needed and how it will be allocated (e.g., product development, marketing, and operations).

    • Tie each funding request directly to milestones or investor ROI. For example, "£X investment in marketing will drive user growth to Y within Z months, increasing revenue by £A."

    • Such information MUST be supported by a comprehensive P&L and CashFlow forecast highlighting a 3-5 year trading period.

  • Market and Risk Justifications:

    • While the comparable companies are inspiring, the niche focus on football fans lacks sufficient market validation. Provide additional data to demonstrate the unmet need in the football fan engagement market.

    • Address potential risks, such as user acquisition challenges or competition from established platforms, and explain mitigation strategies.

  • Pre-Seed Investment Plan:

    • This section lists objectives (e.g., hiring developers, and conducting market research), but it doesn't quantify the required funding against specific actions. Create a direct link between requested funding and projected outcomes.

    • Include a timeline to show when key milestones, like MVP launch or market penetration, will be achieved.

  • EBITDA Projections:

    • Negative EBITDA in Year 1 is standard for startups, but explaining how this will transition into profitability through detailed marketing & sales strategies will reassure investors.

    • Provide a clearer rationale for the aggressive EBITDA margins (56% in Year 2, 75% in Year 3), as they appear optimistic compared to typical market benchmarks.

  • Valuation:

    • The valuation methodology is presented but not contextualised for investors unfamiliar with such models. Explain the choice of revenue multiples and how they compare to industry standards.

    • Clarify the implications of this valuation for equity stakes offered to investors during funding rounds.

  • Sustainability and Scalability:

    • Highlight how the platform will sustain growth beyond Year 3. For example, describe plans for geographic expansion or additional features.

  • Freemium to Paid Analysis

  • Atmosphere90 projects a conversion rate of 20% from freemium users to paid subscribers, a figure that stands out compared to typical benchmarks in digital subscription-based platforms. Below is analysis of how this conversion rate compares to industry standards and what factors may support or challenge achieving these projections:

  • Industry Benchmarks

  • General Freemium Platforms:

    • Platforms like Spotify and Dropbox typically see conversion rates between 2% and 5%.

    • High-performing niche platforms with passionate user bases, such as Strava or Peloton, report higher rates, often between 10% and 15%.

  • Sports and Entertainment Platforms:

    • Sports-focused platforms like DraftKings or similar fan-engagement tools often achieve conversion rates closer to 5% to 10%, depending on the level of user engagement and monetisation strategy.

    • Dating apps, such as Tinder, use gamification and premium feature scarcity to drive conversion rates up to 12% to 15% for their most engaged user segments.